His model was predicting a different outcome than The New York Times’ model, which was heavily leaning in favor of a Donald Trump victory by 10:30 p.m. EST.

When I say the odds in this year’s presidential race are about as close as you can possibly get to 50/50, I’m not exaggerating.” That’s what election prognosticator Nate Silver wrote after running his

When Nate Silver says the election is "closer than a coin flip," he's basing it on hard numbers — heads empirically win 50.5 percent of the time, a greater margin than Vice President Kamala Harris ' 50.15 percent chance of winning the superstar election handicapper's final forecast.

America goes to the polls to decide between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump for the next president. But who did Nate Silver say would win?