The euro strengthened and European stocks rose on Monday after European leaders agreed to draw up a Ukraine peace plan, while Wall Street stocks eased as U.S. President Donald Trump is expected to decide what tariffs to impose on Canada and Mexico early on Tuesday.

The Atlanta Federal Reserve on Monday produced a new projection that the American economy would shrink by nearly three percent in the first quarter of President Donald Trump's second term. Specifically,

The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model had, up until the Feb. 28 update, been forecasting growth between 2-4% in line with most other models. A graph on the GDPNow page lists the "Blue Chip Consensus" average of the top 10 and bottom 10 forecasts at a slight tick more than 2% U.