A broad area of low pressure is expected to form in the western Caribbean Sea over the next several days. Disorganized storms could become better organized in a tropical environment that is likely to support gradual development. A tropical depression may form by this weekend while moving slowly westward.

According to the NHC, environmental conditions appear conducive for development, and a tropical depression will likely form late this week as the system moves westward into the western Caribbean Sea. As of Tuesday morning, the system has a 40% chance of development over the next two days and a 80% chance over the next seven days.