Virginia is the second state which Real Clear Polling has shifted from tossup to lean Democrat in recent weeks. On July 27, days after President Joe Biden ended his reelection campaign and endorsed Harris in the 2024 race, Real Clear Polling moved Democratic stronghold of Minnesota and its 10 Electoral votes to "lean Harris."

With a debate and a second assassination attempt in the rearview mirror, the Harris-Trump contest is by any measure too close to call.

New Electoral College projections from RealClearPolitics show former President Donald Trump gaining a critical lead over Vice President Kamala Harris in a hypothetical 2024 election match-up. According to the new data,

Nate Silver, the statistician and founder of polling aggregator FiveThirtyEight, issued good news for Vice President Kamala Harris on an episode of his podcast, Risky Business, with Maria Konnikova. Silver said that "In contrast to this Labor Day period,

A new electoral college projection, reportedly based on a model developed by Nate Silver, has sparked significant discussion by predicting a decisive victory for Donald Trump in the 2024 U.S. presidential election.

Harris' chances of winning in November have spiked since her debate against Trump, according to Silver's model.